東京に大地震が起こる可能性は?

我々は,今後30年間に東京,川崎,横浜に強震がおよぶ確率 を30%と見積もりました.
How likely is a large Tokyo earthquake today?

We find a 30% probability of severe shaking in Tokyo, Kawasaki, and Yokohama sometime during the next 30 years. This corresponds to a 1.3% annual probability.
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