Summary and discussion of the Team Tokyo results

Toda, S, Stein, R. S., Kirby, S. H., and Bozkurt, S. B.,

A slab fragment wedged under Tokyo and its tectonic and seismic implications, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo318, November 2008

[ - English Summary page]

     R. S. Stein¹, S. Toda², T. Parsons¹ and E. Grunewald^1,3

A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, v. 364, pp. 1965-1988, doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1808 (2006)
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
⁽³⁾ Department of Geophysics, Stanford University, USA

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Insurance perspective on the Team Tokyo results

      M. Bertogg ¹, M. Guatteri¹, S. Tschudi¹

Large Earthquakes in the Tokyo area
An interim report on a Swiss Re-sponsored study, 2006
⁽¹⁾ Swiss Reinsurance Company, Zurich, Switzerland

[English Summary] [Printable report (1.9 Mb)]

Detailed team Tokyo investigations

Studies of the historical earthquake record and its role in hazard assessment

     W. H. Bakun¹

Magnitude and Location of Historical Earthquakes in Japan and Implications for the 1855 Ansei Edo Earthquake
Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol 110, B02304, doi: 10.1029/2004JB003329, 2005
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.

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     E. D. Grunewald¹ and R.S. Stein¹

A new 1649–1884 catalog of destructive earthquakes near Tokyo and implications for the long-term seismic process , J. Geophys. Res., 111, doi:10.1029/2005JB004059., 2006
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
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     S. B. Bozkurt^1,2, R. S. Stein¹, S. Toda³

Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations,
Earthquake Spectra, Volume 23, No. 3, pages 525-546, Doi: 10.1193/1.2753504, 2007
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Now at Geomatrix Consultants, Inc, 2101 Webster Street, CA 94612-3066
⁽³⁾ Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan

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Fault source and slip-rate study from interseismic geodetic data

     Takuya Nishimura¹, Takeshi Sagiya² and Ross Stein³

Crustal block kinematics and seismic potential of the northernmost Philippine Sea plate and Izu microplate, central Japan, Inferred from GPS and Leveling data
J. Geophys. Res.,112, doi:10.1029/2005JB004102, 2007
⁽¹⁾ Geographical Survey Institute Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center Tsukuba, Japan
⁽²⁾ Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
⁽³⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.

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Coseismic and postseismic studies of the 1923 Kanto earthquake

     M. Nyst¹, T.Nishimura², F. F. Pollitz¹, and W. Thatcher¹

The 1923 Kanto Earthquake Re-evaluated Using a Newly Augmented Geodetic Data Set
Journal of Geophysical Research, 10.1029/2005JB003628, 2005
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Geographical Survey Institute Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center Tsukuba, Japan.

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     F. Pollitz¹, M. Nyst¹and T. Nishimura ² and W. Thatcher¹

Coseismic slip distribution of the 1923 Kanto earthquake, Japan.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 110, B11408, doi:10.1029/2005JB003638, 2005
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Geographical Survey Institute Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center Tsukuba, Japan

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     M. Nyst^1,2, N. Hamada³, F. F. Pollitz¹, and W. Thatcher¹

The Stress Triggering Role of the 1923 Kanto Earthquake, submitted to Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2006JB004414., 2006
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Now at Department of Geophysics, Stanford University, Stanford, U.S.A.
⁽³⁾ Seismology and Volcanology Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute Japan, Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan

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     F. Pollitz¹, M. Nyst¹, T. Nishimura ² and W. Thatcher¹

Inference of postseismic deformation mechanisms of the 1923 Kanto earthquake,
J. Geophys. Res., 111, B05408, doi:10.1029/2005JB003901, 2006.
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
⁽²⁾ Geographical Survey Institute Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center Tsukuba, Japan

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Coseismic and long-term study of the 1703 Genroku earthquake

     M. Shishikura¹, S. Toda¹ and K. Satake¹

Fault model of the 1703 Genoku Kanto Earthquake ( M 8.2) along the Sagami Trough deduced from renewed coseismic crustal deformation
Preliminary Draft, August, 2004
⁽¹⁾ Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
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Seismic attenuation study of the Kanto region

     R. Nakamura¹, K. Satake², S. Toda², T. Uetake³ and S. Kamiya⁴

3-D Attenuation Structure beneath the Kanto District, Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., in press, 2006
⁽¹⁾ Tokyo Electric Power Services Co. ,Ltd
⁽²⁾ National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
⁽³⁾ The Tokyo Electric Power Company Inc. 4
⁽⁴⁾ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology

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Studies of stress state evolution and interevent-times in the Tokai area

     S. Toda¹, S. Matsumura²

Spatio-temporal stress states estimated from seismicity rate changes in Tokai region, central Japan, Tectonophysics, 417, 53-68, 2006
⁽¹⁾ Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
⁽²⁾ National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, NIED, Tsukuba, Japan
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     T. Parsons¹,

Significance of stress transfer in time-dependent earthquake probability calculations. Journal of Geophysical Research., Vol. 110, B05S02, doi:10.1029/2004JB003190, 2005
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.

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Background article on stress interaction and earthquake hazards

     R. S. Stein¹

Earthquake Conversations, Scientific American, vol. 288, pp. 72-79, January issue, 2003.
⁽¹⁾ U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
[English version from Scientific American (1.3 Mb)]

     S. Toda¹

Mechanism of Earthquake Triggering: New Clue to Forecast Earthquakes, Nikkei Science, pp. 32-41, April 2003.
⁽¹⁾ Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan

[Japanese version from Nikkei Science (4.6 Mb)]